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Trump Leads Biden in Key Battleground States Ahead of Presidential Debates

Elgin Nelson

      In light of recent polls, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in five out of six critical swing states, despite Democratic Senate contenders being ahead of their Republican opponents in these same states. These polls revealed Trump as the preferred candidate over Biden in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Georgia, with the latter two’s results being the only ones outside the margin of error. Biden, however, holds the slight edgein Michigan, also within the margin of error. 

      The state-by-state results for a direct contest among likely voters are as follows: Trump leads 49-43 in Arizona, 50-41 in Georgia, 51-38 in Nevada, 48-45 in Pennsylvania, and 47-46 in Wisconsin, while Biden has a 47-46 edge in Michigan. 

      The polling also indicates Trump’s growing support among young voters and people of color with an equal number of voters aged 18 to 29 favoring both Biden and Trump. Hispanic voters are approximately evenly divided, while about 20 percent of Black voters in these states express support for Trump. 

      Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who recently secured a place on the Michigan ballot, has garnered support from potential voters of both Biden and Trump.

      Given recent developments in the campaigns, including an advertising blitz by Biden in key states, and Trump’s ongoing criminal trial in New York related to hush money payments, the two are set on a collision course for their first debate set to air on CNN on June 27th. 

      In response to the recent polls, the Biden campaign posted a statementfrom Geoff Garin, a Democratic pollster, stating, “The only consistency in recent public polls is inconsistency—these results need to be weighed against the 30-plus polls that show Biden up and gaining – which is exactly why drawing broad conclusions about the race based on results from one poll is a mistake.”

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